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2024-12-13 05:31:07

Morgan Stanley published a research report, predicting that Chow Tai Fook's share price will outperform the market index in the same period in the next 30 days with a 70% to 80% chance, pointing out that Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party revealed a strong stimulus policy tone yesterday, indicating that it is necessary to expand domestic demand, and called for supporting measures for housing and stock market stability, hoping for stable asset prices, which will have a positive impact on gold and jewelry consumption. The bank also pointed out that December of each year to February of the following year is usually the traditional peak season for jewelry sales, and Chow Tai Fook's share price has fallen by about 40% this year, which is inferior to the performance of MSCI China Index and Hang Seng Index in the same period. It is expected that the strength and implementation details of the central government's stimulus measures, the pace of inflation and the stability of gold prices in the future will affect whether the company's valuation can be revalued in the market and maintain its "in sync with the market" rating, with a target price of HK$ 8.3.Afternoon comments on Hong Kong stocks: Hang Seng Index rose by 1.00%, Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 0.79%, and Hong Kong stocks opened higher and fell back. By midday, Hang Seng Index rose by 1.00% and Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 0.79%. On the first day of listing, Mao Geping rose by 78.19%, and it rose by over 5%. Shang Tang fell more than 4%. 


The fund sentiment continues to pick up, and the rebound of A shares is expected to continue! Half-day turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) exceeded 90 million yuan. By midday on December 10th, Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) had increased by 1.83%, with a turnover of 90299400 yuan. Component stocks rose strongly, with China Ping An, China Merchants Bank and Wuliangye rising by over 3%, while Kweichow Moutai, Midea Group and Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited rising by over 2%. In the news, the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9th to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. The meeting stressed that it is necessary to "implement more active and promising macro policies." Galaxy Securities said that looking forward to the market outlook, from the macro event point of view, the US interest rate cut is expected to heat up in December, and the superimposed domestic PMI data performed well. The follow-up policy stimulus and financial data are expected to support the continuous recovery of capital sentiment, which can be appropriately optimistic. In addition, there have been many discussions on the upcoming meeting recently, and there are still strong expectations for stimulus policies. Next, the policy landing will be an important factor affecting whether the market style can be changed. If the fundamentals are expected to improve, the large and medium-sized stocks are expected to change their trend. We can pay attention to the opportunities of medium-term investment, that is, look for the turning point of the industry boom in 2025, such as new energy, medicine, advanced manufacturing, Hong Kong stock Internet and so on.The Internet e-commerce sector moved up the daily limit of Focus Technology and Guolian, and the Internet e-commerce sector moved up. Focus Technology, Guolian and Antarctic e-commerce moved up the daily limit, and Yiwang Yichuang rose by over 12%, followed by Kaichun, Hua Kai Yibai and Aoki Technology.Tongliao, Inner Mongolia: Support the use of provident fund balance to pay the down payment for house purchase. On December 9, Tongliao Housing Provident Fund Center of Inner Mongolia issued the Notice on Optimizing and Adjusting the Use Policy of Housing Provident Fund. The document proposes to increase the calculation amount of housing provident fund loans. Before the adjustment, it was "the amount of housing provident fund loan application does not exceed 20 times the balance of the account", and after the adjustment, it was "the amount of provident fund loan does not exceed 25 times the balance of the provident fund account", which will be implemented as of the date of issuing the notice. At the same time, support the use of provident fund balance to pay the down payment for house purchase. Support depositors to withdraw the balance of housing provident fund as the down payment for the purchase of newly-built self-occupied housing, that is, after the purchaser and the development enterprise sign the proposed purchase contract (agreement), they can apply for withdrawing the balance of housing provident fund account to pay the down payment for the purchase, which will be implemented from December 20. Tongliao will also adjust the maximum age for employees to repay loans. According to "Measures of the State Council on Gradually Delaying the Statutory Retirement Age", the term of individual housing loans for housing provident fund will be extended to 68 years for men and 63 years for women, or to 5 years after the statutory retirement age of depositors, with the longest loan term not exceeding 30 years. This policy will be implemented as of January 1, 2025.


Hongya CNC: The income from exporting products to the US market is relatively low. Hongya CNC (002833) said on the interactive platform today that the company's products are exported to more than 70 countries and regions, and the income from the US market is relatively low.On the analysis of the daily limit at noon on December 10, the Shanghai Composite Index opened higher and fell back by 1.58%, and the half-day turnover of the two cities exceeded 1.5 trillion. Yiming food has 11 boards, and Taier shares have 9 boards. You can understand one picture > >In 2024, the Reserve Bank of Australia decided to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.35%, which was the ninth consecutive meeting and was in line with market expectations.

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